Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.120114 0.132735 0.145678 0.159918 0.175114 0.190818 0.208245
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.103096 0.122493 0.143370 0.167382 0.194106 0.222808 0.255839
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.086872 0.110258 0.136534 0.167934 0.204124 0.244224 0.291708
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.072439 0.097901 0.127684 0.164529 0.208319 0.258153 0.318594
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.065701 0.093595 0.127321 0.170219 0.222443 0.283104 0.358009
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.059475 0.089067 0.125970 0.174113 0.233997 0.304815 0.393636
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.053670 0.084371 0.123808 0.176491 0.243328 0.323665 0.425836
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.048108 0.079377 0.120729 0.177245 0.250296 0.339440 0.454274
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.047488 0.081046 0.126328 0.189179 0.271437 0.372826 0.504532
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.043694 0.077821 0.125037 0.191828 0.280574 0.391281 0.536531
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040733 0.075512 0.124762 0.195648 0.291124 0.411506 0.570845
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036804 0.071373 0.121607 0.195288 0.295993 0.424423 0.596005
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035614 0.071587 0.124932 0.204330 0.314070 0.455234 0.645152
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034478 0.071817 0.128307 0.213584 0.332725 0.487246 0.696514
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.031258 0.068309 0.125869 0.214388 0.339788 0.504146 0.728619
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.027226 0.062998 0.120328 0.210395 0.340015 0.511921 0.748913
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.026025 0.062513 0.122175 0.217182 0.355266 0.539743 0.795538
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.024463 0.061211 0.122615 0.221814 0.367498 0.563627 0.837218
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.022673 0.059295 0.121921 0.224638 0.377133 0.584063 0.874512
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.020680 0.056771 0.120053 0.225534 0.383927 0.600650 0.906801
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.021205 0.059281 0.126668 0.239661 0.410043 0.643871 0.974954
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.019787 0.057706 0.126266 0.242792 0.420164 0.665237 1.014054
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.018701 0.056705 0.126769 0.247302 0.432319 0.689489 1.057204